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by waxman 2053 days ago
I'm a big fan of both Ben Thompson and Tim Wu. One of Wu's specific critiques is my biggest disagreement I have with Thompson, and is a train of thought that seems to be dogma in Silicon Valley Twitter.

Wal-Mart putting their own brand of toilet paper on more prominent end cap shelves is fundamentally different than Amazon promoting their own Amazon Basics toilet paper on a search results page on Amazon.com. Amazon has a much greater ability to drive conversion to its own products than a brick-and-mortar retailer (e.g. limited screen space, UI, information hierarchy, better data, etc.)

Thompson's argument that "it's all the same," "private labeling has been going on forever," is flimsy and intellectually lazy.

Once we agree on this basic set of facts the more interesting question becomes: is this dynamic bad for consumers long-term?

The crux of this round of tech anti-trust scrutiny is time horizon. Many of these practices are neutral or beneficial to consumers in the short-term, but that's always how monopolies operate. Undercutting prices to put a competitor out of business benefit consumers immediately, but hurt consumers after the competitor goes out of business and the monopolist can raise prices. Amazon selling Amazon Basics products at a loss or near-loss is good for customers now, but if it puts too many other online retailers out of business, eventually they'll raise prices and hurt consumers.

3 comments

> Wal-Mart putting their own brand of toilet paper on more prominent end cap shelves is fundamentally different than Amazon promoting their own Amazon Basics toilet paper on a search results page on Amazon.com.

The other fundamental difference is scale. It can physically walk down the toilet paper aisle in Walmart in see all the available toilet papers in less than a minute. In fact, I can probably wander the entire Walmart store in about 30-45 minutes and see everything they are selling in that store. It is not entirely impractical.

On the other hand it is impractical for me to go through all the items Amazon is selling. Thus what they are promoting becomes much more important.

> In fact, I can probably wander the entire Walmart store in about 30-45 minutes and see everything they are selling in that store.

I'm pretty sure this can't be done. Consider how frequent it is to intend to purchase a particular item, which you know the store stocks, and yet be unable to find it even though you're looking for it in the correct aisle.

What if we ran the following experiment:

1. We give the subject a particular item to look for. They know what they're supposed to find.

2. The subject looks through the Walmart for up to 60 minutes for that item. They can't ask for help.

3. We then ask a single question, "is this item in stock at this Walmart?"

What percentage of subjects would answer correctly?

There is a difference between seeing everything (or at least the vast majority of things) and remembering everything. Assuming that for the most part like items are clumped together it doesn't matter if you can remember if Lay's southern barbecue was in stock it matters if, when strolling down the aisle, you were able to see the majority of the chips in one place.

It's a bit like sequential read vs random read. In a physical store it's largely possible to sequentially read the inventory even if you can't quickly search for individual items randomly quickly. On Amazon you're not going to go through all of the aisles sequentially, at best you go in knowing exactly what virtual aisles you want and then you can sequentially search that and even then the best it's going to work out is the worst case of walking through the entire store for an hour.

You appear to be talking about something fairly different from what my comment addresses.

> it doesn't matter if you can remember if Lay's southern barbecue was in stock it matters if, when strolling down the aisle, you were able to see the majority of the chips in one place.

Perhaps, but I didn't ask about this. The challenge is that you are told in advance that you're looking for Lay's Southern Barbecue. Remembering whether it's there is not difficult, because it's the only thing you want. The difficult part is determining whether it's there.

> In a physical store it's largely possible to sequentially read the inventory even if you can't quickly search for individual items randomly quickly.

Again, this badly misunderstands what I was saying. It is not possible to sequentially read the inventory in a physical store; if this were possible, determining whether or not a particular product existed in the store would be trivial. Instead, this task is one that people routinely fail at.

We're talking about the same thing unless your stance is 100% of people known 100% of the product SKUs they want when looking for things and they know these before they start looking. For those that don't go in knowing the want exactly "Lay's Southern Barbecue 9.5 oz Bag for $2.98" your scenario quickly breaks down into the points I discussed which is why I brought them up.

In more Amazon terms someone is going to search "tablet" not "New Apple iPad Air (10.9-inch, Wi-Fi, 64GB) - Rose Gold (Latest Model, 4th Generation) sold by Apple". Even if searching "Apple iPad" I get Amazon Fire tablets high in the results.

Are you suggesting that physically going to a Walmart and walking down the aisle to view all the toilet paper options is more "practical" than typing walmart.com, searching for toilet paper, and scrolling through the options?

Personally, I find it much easier to search for products at home. It's literally seconds versus at least 10 to 15 minutes to get to the nearest store and browse around. And what is the use case for browsing all of the products in a store? I can't imagine why I would need to walk around an entire Walmart.

> Are you suggesting that physically going to a Walmart and walking down the aisle to view all the toilet paper options is more "practical" than typing walmart.com, searching for toilet paper, and scrolling through the options?

No.

I am saying that once you are at Walmart, staring at the the end cap toilet paper, it is more practical to just walk down the aisle scanning the rest of the toilet paper available, than it it is to go through the many pages of results on either walmart.com or amazon.

I guess that's true, but I don't see the purpose of that comparison.

Also, if the website is designed well, such as Home Depot, it's actually better to use the Home Depot website on your phone to find what you need, and it tells you exactly where it is in the aisle. It would take me longer to search through all the products in the aisle to find exactly what I need.

Might not be the case for an item such as Toilet Paper, but websites that let me drill down into the attribute of the product I need are super useful.

> I guess that's true, but I don't see the purpose of that comparison.

There is more noise online, so signal-boosting efforts are disproportionately effective there. That's all.

Based on accounts I’ve read of what vendors have to do in order to sell on Walmart shelves (most notably reduce their quality to let Walmart be the lowest price), I think that conflict of interest would actually make shopping on the internet better.
I reject Bork's novel premise that sole criteria is consumer welfare. Proper antitrust assessment is based on competition.

Rephrasing your point:

Both grocers and aggregators compete with their own partners.

At the very least, in house brands shouldn't have unfair advantage.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Antitrust_Paradox

Can you elaborate? All of the examples I can think of where favoring an in house brand is "bad" ultimately end with the consumer being harmed by either paying a higher price or receiving a lower quality product. What are the other "bad" scenarios which don't reduce to either of these?
The Sherman Act doesn't say anything about consumer welfare. It doesn't matter if the price goes up, down, sideways. What matters is illegal anticompetitive actions.
The big problem is that Amazon has third party sellers and there is a strong incentive to use those third party sellers as a stepping stone to create their own brand. Since third party sellers are basically Amazon customers (they pay fees and use amazon services) Amazon ends up competing against its own customers. This is where the conflict of interest lies. Without third party sellers it's just another Walmart

House brands are not in competition with suppliers because house brands are often sourced from the same suppliers and labeling is actually a service that those suppliers offer.