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by cestith
2081 days ago
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Try thinking of it this way. It may or may not be any more useful. I've seen different people come to understand the problem from different examples. 1. Observe that 3/3 = 1. Pedantic, yes, but good for frame of mind here.
2. Pick one of three doors. (1/3 odds)
3. Gain information that one of the three doors is a loser.
4. Note your odds on choosing the original door correctly are still 1/3.
5. Note that if you change doors, there are still 2/3 doors there to choose.
5. Note you're not going to switch to the known loser door, so if you change doors you know 100% which of the other 2/3 of doors to choose.
The intuition usually is that you're down to two doors after the loser door is opened, but that's not the case. There are still three doors. The host has just told you that if you trade doors, you know which door to trade for. So trade for it.Note there's a newer version of "Let's Make a Deal", hosted by Wayne Brady, but there is no option to switch after a losing door has been shown in that version. |
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