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by BiasRegularizer 2120 days ago
I believe this applies to all currencies - they don't have intrinsic values. The values are derived from the market. Be it USD, BTC, EUR, or the Zimbabwean dollar. However, the purpose of currency exists as a vehicle for wealth transfer.

IMO the biggest problem with most cryptocurrencies is their deflationary nature. Limited supply means they behave more like assets than currency. As currency nobody would want to spend it as they gain value over time. As an asset it lacks intrinsic value, and therefore overall market cap will tank slowly.

2 comments

> As currency nobody would want to spend it as they gain value over time

The problem with this argument is that you have to spend money. You have to spend it on food, lodging, entertainment, and so forth. Even if a currency is deflationary, people still have needs.

Yes, but one would prefer spending money using an inflationary currency since holding on to it devalues over time. As long as inflationary currencies exist, people will prefer to spending those first before deflationary currencies.
Let's say you store all your wealth in a deflationary currency, for the obvious reason that it gains value over time. Then converting it to an inflationary currency would simply add overhead. So you would spend the deflationary currency.
Your opening hypothetical leaves the impression that the words which follow it were either an alternate rehearsal for a more blunt observation: "if all your wealth is deflationary, to spend is to lose deflationary currency" or an earnest counterargument-by-analogy which contradicts something very near the bedrock of my own common sense about money; why would anyone with savings in a deflationary currency and the opportunity to spend inflationary currency decide to have & hold that which would decrease in value in favor of (equivalently denominated) spending which won't?
I suggest you look into modern economic theories and why inflation is crucial to economic development. There are two problematic assumptions in your statement:

1. Nobody would store all their wealth in a deflationary currency - other forms of assets, stocks etc will still exist. They will need a high liquidity vehicle to trade a.k.a inflationary currency.

2. Deflationary currency doesn't necessarily mean it will gain value overtime. Unless it contains growing intrinsic value, the overall market cap will drop/plateau.

Think of inflation vs deflation as lubricant vs sandpaper, one encourages economic activities while the other discourages.

1. bitcoin is high liquidity (even higher liquidity than currencies in that you can trivially transfer $1B), unlike all of the other assets like stocks and houses....

2. Exactly which is why people would be fine spending a "deflationary" currency

I believe this is completely wrong, the values of many important currencies are not at all derived from some vague market value, but are very actively centrally fought for, and controlled by the respective governments, and their respective economic and military might, and reserves - no equivalent in the typical cryptocurrency world. The decision to devalue the currency to save the economy, the decision to change course and peg a currency to something else entirely, the centralized fight to contain hyperinflation with all resources of a government, these have nothing to do with "deriving values from the market".

In contrast, there is no central government with military and reserves that can decide to manufacture an extra $3 trillion same price BTC on a whim to temporarily address a virus, or to devalue BTC to save the local economy, most crypto "currencies" just don't seem to work that way.

You didn't quite get the point. As individual currencies governments exert a lot of power over their relative value to other currencies. As a whole, worlds fiat currencies hold no intrinsic value. No government can dictate that a kilogram of gold to only cost $1.