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by schemy 2141 days ago
https://www.google.com/search?q=sweden+covid+deathrate&oq=sw...

Sweden's death rate is down to zero today and has been trending down since mid April. Summer Holidays did not start until late May where deaths were already half of what they were in mid April. This post isn't aging, it's already aged.

2 comments

> Sweden's death rate is down to zero today

No, it isn't.

Sweden has fairly laggy reporting of deaths, with the deaths often taking several weeks to show up in statistics, so at any given date, deaths attributed to the last few days are always dropping to close to zero.

I looked into this a bit in mid-APRIL, when somebody claimed that deaths were dropping to zero. At the time, substantial revisions occurred for about three weeks after the date, and occasional revisions for about four weeks.

(It's entirely possible that similar phenomena occur in other countries; Sweden is the only country I looked at in detail).

Several weeks is a bit of an exaggeration. Lag in reporting has been around 4-5 days on average. Lately the lag has increased somewhat as the number of reported deaths has gone down.

Don’t take my word for it, see for yourself at https://morberg.github.io/covid-notebook/covid.html

GitHub repo here: https://github.com/morberg/covid-notebook

Want to make any guesses as to what Sweden's all-cause mortality for 2020 will be?

https://www.statista.com/statistics/525353/sweden-number-of-...

https://imgur.com/9NS5LFh

Worse than 2019, which was an exceptionally good year, but most probably below the ten-year average. Might even land below the five-year average.