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by microtherion 2146 days ago
> Sweden's death rate is down to zero today

No, it isn't.

Sweden has fairly laggy reporting of deaths, with the deaths often taking several weeks to show up in statistics, so at any given date, deaths attributed to the last few days are always dropping to close to zero.

I looked into this a bit in mid-APRIL, when somebody claimed that deaths were dropping to zero. At the time, substantial revisions occurred for about three weeks after the date, and occasional revisions for about four weeks.

(It's entirely possible that similar phenomena occur in other countries; Sweden is the only country I looked at in detail).

1 comments

Several weeks is a bit of an exaggeration. Lag in reporting has been around 4-5 days on average. Lately the lag has increased somewhat as the number of reported deaths has gone down.

Don’t take my word for it, see for yourself at https://morberg.github.io/covid-notebook/covid.html

GitHub repo here: https://github.com/morberg/covid-notebook