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You're an interesting person. In the same comment you say "most people are dramatically overestimating COVID-19 risk," and then cite an article which says, "Coronavirus disease (COVID-19) presents arguably the greatest public health crisis in living memory." In other comments, you've claimed there's no long-term risk to children, while the article you cite says, "emerging reports of a novel Kawasaki disease–like multisystem inflammatory syndrome necessitate continued surveillance in pediatric patients" Then you just plain went to far, when you said "there is no theoretical basis for long-term consequences of COVID-19." Sorry, but "there is no theoretical basis" is an over-statement. If you had said, "The evidence indicates there are no long-term consequences," you would have maintained your aura of authority. But "there is no theoretical basis" is too far, especially since you cited an article that specifically mentions novel Kawasaki disease–like multisystem inflammatory syndrome. That's not just a theoretical basis, that's an example of a concrete basis. "There is no theoretical basis" doesn't mean, "the theory is incorrect," it means, "it's impossible for the theory to be correct," and that's a statement the evidence YOU CITED shows is not true. I think you're more informed on the subject than average, but I am no longer convinced you have a good grasp of even the evidence you cite, let alone the body of available research. You Google well, but you don't really understand. |
(2) Given your only argument against my statement of there being no theoretical basis is what I addressed in (1), there's not much for me to address here. So I'll throw it back at you: What long-term pathology has been observed in SARS-1?
It may be that we are using "long-term" in different senses. I don't consider 3 months to be "long-term". AFAIK most people raising alarm about (unfounded) long-term damage are implying either lifelong or at least years+, right?
(3)
> In the same comment you say "most people are dramatically overestimating COVID-19 risk," and then cite an article which says,
>> "Coronavirus disease (COVID-19) presents arguably the greatest public health crisis in living memory."
I don't see how these statements are mutually incompatible. It's possible for COVID-19 to be the most serious pandemic in over a century - which it is - and for people to still be overestimating the risk.
There is a study that surveyed people for their estimated COVID-19 risk which supports my claim; people in the 20-29 age group estimated their risk of death if infected at 2%. Think about that. That's at minimum a 50x overestimate.
Humorously, the older someone was the less they estimated their risk in absolute terms; young people reported higher chance of death than older people.