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> Sweden as the outlier is not reporting accurately and others are? Huh? If a country is in lockdown, and still experiences excess mortality, but the official covid-19 deaths aren't enough to cover that excess, then.... what the hell did people die of? The expectation is that because of lockdown, the excess mortality from non-covid-19 causes should be lower than previous years, and therefore all the actual excess, and probably more, is attributable to covid-19. Which means that countries where the official covid-19 number is lower than excess mortality, like the UK, are underreporting, while countries where the excess mortality matches the official covid-19 number, like Sweden, are not underreporting. |
It is hard to say whether this is true. There are two reasons why there could be excess mortality caused only indirectly by covid-19 (so not part of covid-19 mortality):
1) Overwhelmed hospitals cannot offer proper healthcare to some patients with non-covid-19 illnesses. This might happen in Italy or Spain.
2) People are too frightened by covid-19 to visit doctor even in acute cases of other illnesses (e.g. minor stroke) and sometimes visit them too late. This was reported by doctors in Czechia.