Massive unrest due to climate change, leading to waves of mass immigration, humanitarian disasters, atrocities, genocide and a rise in authoritarianism.
“I expect our global supply chain to collapse before we reach 2030. With this collapse, we won't be able to produce most of our electronics because it depends on a very complex supply chain that we won't be able to achieve again for decades (ever?).”
I might disagree with the given date, but I think some sort of industrial collapse will probably happen in the next century, basically because the earth has finite resources, and we have been consuming them at an unprecedented rate in the human history. Added to the climate change, it will lead to a massive unrest that we are not ready to deal with.
Rebuilding computing could really turn out surprisingly difficult: the first time "we" did it, hardware manufacturing was bootstrapped by the type of customer epitomized by "world market for about five computers" and then gently followed the price/demand curve until we reached cheap smartphones. If it had to be repeated, all the potential customers on the beginner-friendly end of said curve will have access to vastly superior legacy hardware. The kind of customer that was amongst the first who could afford computers in the original ramp-up would be the last who could afford increasingly rare remnant hardware after a supply chain collapse (the same problem that makes it impossible to bootstrap a domestic anything industry when you don't already have one, all the deep-pocketed buyers can afford superior imports). Basically "Saddam's PlayStation 2 supercomputer" turned reality.
Our window to escape this future in narrowing. Here in the UK 3 years of Brexit arguments have sucked up all the oxygen. While on the other side of the Atlantic a science denier is squatting in the White House.
Came to write exactly this. When we start to feel the real effects of climate change in a mass scale, our survival instinct will kick in and the world will be in a chaos. With all the weapons of mass destruction, guns and deteriorating social fabric, entropy might and probably win against our human order. Once the population numbers reduce through war and famine we could recover like the world did after ww2. Who knows.
Let me quote https://collapseos.org/why.html here :
“I expect our global supply chain to collapse before we reach 2030. With this collapse, we won't be able to produce most of our electronics because it depends on a very complex supply chain that we won't be able to achieve again for decades (ever?).”
And a related discussion : https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=21183805
I might disagree with the given date, but I think some sort of industrial collapse will probably happen in the next century, basically because the earth has finite resources, and we have been consuming them at an unprecedented rate in the human history. Added to the climate change, it will lead to a massive unrest that we are not ready to deal with.