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by vladojsem
2509 days ago
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That is true, people (and especially politicians) nowadays seem indifferent to climate change. Think about it, it is partly because of the narrative of the story. If you imagine a hypothetical situation that there is big asteroid flying towards the Earth and there is a 95% chance of the impact in 2050. The governments would finance and do everything to stop this impact, to look like saviors of the planet Earth. The consequences / or better the probability would be the same. However, the asteroid story is different, much more tangible. |
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No, they wouldn't, because the astronomers who would be predicting the asteroid impact have a track record of decades of extremely accurate predictions of the future trajectories of asteroids, checked in detail against actual observations. So if they ever were to predict an asteroid impact at some time in the future, that prediction would have extremely high credibility and would indeed warrant drastic action.
Climate science, by contrast, has no track record of accurate predictions. The climate model predictions are falsified by the data. Plus, the actual impact of climate change requires not only predicting the climate, but predicting the economic and other consequences of changes in the climate, and we have even less predictive ability in those disciplines than we have in climate science. So when climate scientists squawk about future catastrophes, their predictions have extremely low credibility, and combined with their obvious self-interest, this is more than sufficient reason to ignore them.