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by pdonis
2506 days ago
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> The consequences / or better the probability would be the same. No, they wouldn't, because the astronomers who would be predicting the asteroid impact have a track record of decades of extremely accurate predictions of the future trajectories of asteroids, checked in detail against actual observations. So if they ever were to predict an asteroid impact at some time in the future, that prediction would have extremely high credibility and would indeed warrant drastic action. Climate science, by contrast, has no track record of accurate predictions. The climate model predictions are falsified by the data. Plus, the actual impact of climate change requires not only predicting the climate, but predicting the economic and other consequences of changes in the climate, and we have even less predictive ability in those disciplines than we have in climate science. So when climate scientists squawk about future catastrophes, their predictions have extremely low credibility, and combined with their obvious self-interest, this is more than sufficient reason to ignore them. |
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Are you serious? Did you hear about drilling into the ice to get the samples? https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2019/mar/29/scientis...