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Maybe in the past, improving the economic situation would have been enough, given enough time. Today, Hamas and the Israeli right wing leadership prevent any chance of advancement. Now it's possible to see the right wing leadership changes, but it won't be easy. It's much harder to see Hamas, a religious extreme based dictatorship, change, without some drastic action, be it an internal revolution or a specific type of war from Israel, aimed at toppling down Hamas. And it's really hard to believe Hamas will change of it's own - extreme religions don't do that. Both actions would be extremely bloody. A revolution often creates a new type of mess, and how the hell do you start a revolution? And an external war, if you could convince the Israeli public(a big if), even if it's for the Palestinians benefit, is a pretty terrible way to create the necessary goodwill. |
Without economic improvement and normalization there is no prospect for peace no Israeli government will take the chance on anything that isn’t already de facto the situation on the groun. As without it any concession will be met by a military entrenchment; Lebanon and Gaza proved that much in their eyes.
If the situation is normalized a federated system with a constitution simmilar to what Lebanon has that would guarantee Jewish sovereignty despite the possible demographics might be plausible.