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by nonbel
2992 days ago
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This is impossible. If the model is incorrectly specified (does not include all and only the relevant parameters and interactions), it doesn't matter much what games are played with the math. Changing the model will change the estimates... Edit:
For example, see here where making arbitrary choices of how to code categorical variables will change the estimates:
https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=16719754 If you change the model the meaning of all the coefficients changes. |
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I agree, changing the model changes the estimates, because the parameters you are estimating change.
However, given one misspecified model, the parameters of that model are still well defined, though they may not have the interpretation they would if the model was correctly specified. As OP called it, this is the "best fit line", and is a projection of the truth onto your model. E.g. for a simple linear regression of Y on X, where the true conditional mean of Y given X is not linear, there is still some "true" best line. This line depends also on the distribution of X, though it would not if the model was correct. Estimates from linear regression will converge to the parameters of this line, though using the usual standard errors will be wrong.
There's a very general theorem or corollary that covers this in Asymptotic Statistics by van der Vaart. I think in the chapter about M estimators, right around where MLEs are covered, but I don't have it in front of me.