[junkscience2017]

No, but combine cloud APIs, AI, and market consolidation and you will indeed see a reduction in the demand for code. I write much less code than I did ten years ago. I spend more time integrating others' code now than I do writing my own.

In ten years most industrial coders will probably be down to a hundred or so lines of new production code a year...it will be the DATA arcitects who are calling the architecture shots as it becomes clear that data architecture trmps code architecture

[klibertp]

I don't believe this to be true. We've seen quite a few technologies, which promised to "let anyone code", without any real success, whereas to "let AI code" is even harder than letting your boss. At the very least, I expect we'd need another 2 or 3 major, paradigm-shifting, breakthroughs to get computers sophisticated enough to program themselves, which is still 50-60 years away.

I mean, that's my gut feeling; we'll see how it plays out, but for now I'm still not really worried about my job disappearing.

[jjeaff]

I think that we can do a lot more with a lot less programmer hours today. React native is a good example. We have just finished rebuilding our app with maybe one third the time and cost of our two native apps.

This is of course offset by the overall huge growth in demand for all kinds of software. But if that demand curve ever flattens out, then I think we could definitely see a reduction in the need for programmers.

[kthejoker2]

This exactly. I always think of this xkcd comic

https://xkcd.com/1205/

If AI makes all those targets achievable, the number of projects which will get wired up will be astronomical - but finite.

[mr_spothawk]

why are all your comments grey? have you been shadow banned?