[klibertp]

I don't believe this to be true. We've seen quite a few technologies, which promised to "let anyone code", without any real success, whereas to "let AI code" is even harder than letting your boss. At the very least, I expect we'd need another 2 or 3 major, paradigm-shifting, breakthroughs to get computers sophisticated enough to program themselves, which is still 50-60 years away.

I mean, that's my gut feeling; we'll see how it plays out, but for now I'm still not really worried about my job disappearing.

[jjeaff]

I think that we can do a lot more with a lot less programmer hours today. React native is a good example. We have just finished rebuilding our app with maybe one third the time and cost of our two native apps.

This is of course offset by the overall huge growth in demand for all kinds of software. But if that demand curve ever flattens out, then I think we could definitely see a reduction in the need for programmers.

[kthejoker2]

This exactly. I always think of this xkcd comic

https://xkcd.com/1205/

If AI makes all those targets achievable, the number of projects which will get wired up will be astronomical - but finite.