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by pedrocr
3101 days ago
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>If you have $100B, say, you can't put it in a stock that's currently valued at $1B. But if you have $1000, you don't have that constraint. Your argument is that there is a mispriced security somewhere that can be bought at a low price. There is currently only 1B$ of it available and so the professional manager with 100B$ to spend just doesn't bother to pick up that money. But you with just 1000$ can do it instead. What makes the professional manager pass up on that opportunity? He has at least as much money as you, why doesn't he invest at least that amount? In reality that opportunity doesn't exist. Companies can't be consistently mispriced lower because there is too much demand for their stock. That's not how markets work for anything. |
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I don't think the small cap stock is "mispriced". Rather, it has a different value for different investors, and the market price is a compromise. That means different investors should probably have a different amount of it in a portfolio.
It's an abuse of theory to claim that since the market is efficient, you should ignore the things that make you different from the total market. For example, suppose you invest in tax-exempt investments when you are in a low tax bracket, or even when you are investing in a tax free account. Is that optimal because markets are efficient? Of course not. Because the value set by the market does not take into account the way in which you differ.
The reason to believe in index investing is because you understand your own lack of knowledge and are honest about it. That's a good thing, but it doesn't justify pretending you don't know things that you do know. People seem to have the same issue with probability, I find.