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by perl4ever 3100 days ago
Every cap weighted fund has a cutoff where it omits companies that are too small. But even the stocks that are barely large enough to include don't contribute much to returns.

I don't think the small cap stock is "mispriced". Rather, it has a different value for different investors, and the market price is a compromise. That means different investors should probably have a different amount of it in a portfolio.

It's an abuse of theory to claim that since the market is efficient, you should ignore the things that make you different from the total market. For example, suppose you invest in tax-exempt investments when you are in a low tax bracket, or even when you are investing in a tax free account. Is that optimal because markets are efficient? Of course not. Because the value set by the market does not take into account the way in which you differ.

The reason to believe in index investing is because you understand your own lack of knowledge and are honest about it. That's a good thing, but it doesn't justify pretending you don't know things that you do know. People seem to have the same issue with probability, I find.

2 comments

I think you're arguing a point that isn't even being brought up in this thread or in the article.

Of course it's just fine to have an index fund that's weighted towards certain types of stock, e.g. there's the S&P 500, then various "woldwide" funds, EU-weighted funds etc. The risks & benefits of those are well understood. Nobody argues that different types of index funds shouldn't exist.

Similarly, there's funds that cater to specific regulations, e.g. investing heavily in "green" stocks which may be subsidized by the government, or avoiding certain taxes (e.g. lower turnover for lower capital gains).

Both of those are categorically different from supposing that you know better than other people that tech stock in 2017 is overvalued, and trying to move away from that in favor of something else. Now you're making an active investment move which history shows you're more likely to lose on as gain anything on.

>Every cap weighted fund has a cutoff where it omits companies that are too small.

The whole market isn't just S&P500 funds, if it was there wouldn't be much price discovery. But in the S&P500 I bet most cap weighted funds actually hold all the assets.

>I don't think the small cap stock is "mispriced".

For your argument to hold it has to be. Specifically it has to be priced lower than it should so that an equal weighted fund can outperform a cap weighted fund. If that was the case the large fund manager should pick up that opportunity anyway, even if he can only do it in a lesser percentage of his portfolio than the retail investor. When that then happens those opportunities disappear.

>That's a good thing, but it doesn't justify pretending you don't know things that you do know.

The problem is that you haven't named a single thing a retail investor knows that the 100B$ fund manager doesn't and can't take advantage of.