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by ej_campbell 3218 days ago
Why is that an okay situation to be in? Given things floods, dirty bombs, etc. have a non-zero chance of happening, shouldn't cities, states and countries have the infrastructure to perform mass-evacuations if necessary?
2 comments

You have to weigh the death toll of the evacuation against the death toll of the disaster.

We see the flooding issue right now--an evacuation would have killed far more people.

A dirty bomb? Once the bomb goes off you will have plenty of time to evacuate where you need to. Keeping radioactivity contained would be more problematic than removing people.

A biological agent? You want to quarantine rather than evacuate.

A fire? San Diego showed how to deal with that--phased evacuations ahead of the actual fire path.

Earthquake? Well, once it's done you have plenty of time to evacuate.

I can't really think of anything that would affect something the size of Houston simultaneously.

> Why is that an okay situation to be in?

Because the cost to not be in it is enormous.

Enormous compared to what? We spend 3.2 trillion a year on Medicare, which is 9.9K a person [1]. Imagine if just 1K per person per year (300B) was spent on infrastructure every year to make mass evacuations over a few days possible. Imagine how great normal day to day travel would be once that is in place, city by city.

[1] https://www.cms.gov/research-statistics-data-and-systems/sta...

> Enormous compared to what?

Enormous compared to the value provided.

> We spend 3.2 trillion a year on Medicare

No, we don't. As your own source says, it is only $646 billion on Medicare, and $3.2 trillion a year in total combined public and private healthcare expenditures.

> Imagine if just 1K per person per year (300B) was spent on infrastructure every year to make mass evacuations over a few days possible.

Then it still probably wouldn't be enough, and we'd get a lot more value for nearly doubling infrastructure spending [0] if we spent it on something else.

[0] $416 billion/year in 2014, https://www.cbo.gov/publication/52463