[merchang]

I'm too young to have a wide enough frame of reference, and I'm sure a lot of this can be marked up to the type of stories that sell clicks. But I can't help but to think that lately the news reads like a history textbook explaining the political situations that led up to a world war.

[zanny]

This isn't a fantasy novel. We have well established since WW2 that there will not be another global conflict like the world wars. There can't be. We are nuclear. We will continue to see regional proxy war conflicts between global superpowers, but outright declarations of war between NATO and anything else would be extinction.

Too many checks are in place on launch codes worldwide to let one lunatic end civilization. We were much, much closer to annihilation 40 years ago. This is little league instability.

[unityByFreedom]

> there will not be another global conflict like the world wars

If only one could guarantee such a thing. Yet we know there are madmen out there, angry enough to push that button, or lead armies to conquer more territory. Humans aren't much different today than we were 1,000 years ago.

[zanny]

That isn't a world war. You cannot have another Hitler who tries to push a ground army to conquer the territorial first world. The nukes would fly well before then, and since its not a world war, and just one isolated country going insane, we probably wouldn't resort to that - it would just be a counter insurgency from the way-better-armed NATO allies.

The only economies capable of waging a war "from the other side" on NATO are China and Russia, and the keys of their economies care too much about not dying to let some lunatic take over these states to wage a world war.

The early 20th century was a transitionary period where plutocrats learned that war between powers was no longer profitable. As soon as it stopped being an economically beneficial act to try to conquer, people stopped doing it. That is why Russia is able to still conquer foreign land - they know nobody cares enough to stop them, so they can just grab it for free. They also know they could never try that against a NATO member or first world nation, because it would end them. They are too rational in their behavior for that kind of stupidity.

[unityByFreedom]

Neither of us can predict the future with certainty.

Russia could keep taking non-NATO land, while new nations seek admission to NATO. At some point, Russia could dispute the status of a new-NATO member claiming they already held that territory or some such.

You can't know what increased tensions will lead to. Bay of Pigs and the cold war were very real. Tensions in the South China Sea and North Korea are real. The fondness that the US president holds for murderous conservative leaders, and his disdain for left-leaning leaders, are real.

I would mention the pact the UK signed with Poland days before Germany decided to invade anyway, however, you claim the circumstances are different now and that history is irrelevant. I'd say ignoring history is foolish.