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by ashearer 3503 days ago
If they predict a 20% chance of rain, and it does rain, that doesn't show dishonesty.

The second point needs a citation.

3 comments

>that doesn't show dishonesty.

https://wikileaks.org/podesta-emails/emailid/4213

Not disclosing the 'veto' in the article is pretty dishonest. don't you think?

Running 20 front page anti-trump articles everyday and no criticism of Clinton doesn't show any dishonesty?

This is why I don't get usually get involved in political discussions online. Someone who's committed to a position can always bring up new questions instead of responding to the original ones. (In this case I wasn't even taking a position, just pointing out where I found the logical reasoning unconvincing.) While both the new points you raise are open to debate, they shift the topic away from the two I was talking about. If I respond further we could be here forever.
It does if rational interpretation of solid evidence led to a forecast of 70% but instead they reported 20%.
That's the question then--is it the case that any rational interpretation of the polls gave an actual forecast of least 70%, and the NYT lied? The parent seemed to be saying that election's outcome alone proved that the 20% number was not only wrong, but dishonest on top of it. You need some more ingredients to prove either of those things, though.
Can you not understand how that is not only ibtellectually dishonest, but a terrible analogy
Please illuminate me. I may be wrong, but I certainly wasn't being dishonest. The fact that you leaped straight to that conclusion doesn't help convince me that you have a particularly well-grounded belief in the NYT's dishonesty, either.