Hacker News new | ask | show | jobs
by oli5679 3561 days ago
What do you mean by kill? To me it's likely that finance represents a depressingly large drain on growth in output/welfare compared to a better regulated alternative but I can't see it making things bad enough to cause anarchy/ rebellion.
1 comments

Why not? Civil wars have been distressingly common through history.
Ok, that's a reasonable view. How do you a) estimate the tipping point were finance becomes so dysfunctional that it causes a revolution B) measure the dysfunctionality of anther system relative to this benchmark level. To me this can only ever be a qualitative line of enquiry.
Correct. Many nonlinear systems cannot be modeled beyond describing their qualitative phenomena. The "butterfly effect" prevents precise estimations. You wouldn't expect the weatherman to tell you whether it'll rain this day next year.
Ok, but there are other less ambitious questions you can answer within the paradigm of economics. What are the losses caused by the current system vs an alternative according to a specific welfare measure?
But we don't yet even have a good model of the dynamics of the current system, let alone any good predictions for specific welfare measures of alternate systems.
Even if we don't understand higher order dynamics of the entire system, we have an approximately understanding of parts of the system and can use total intermediary fees as a welfare measure.

Imagine two worlds, one where American financial regulations remain unchanged, and one where financial advisers are not allowed to be paid a referral fee by asset managers they recommend to clients. What would you expect to happen to intermediary fees in this situation? Would you support the policy? Or are you totally agnostic because of 'Chaos Theory', 'Higher Order Effects' and 'Economics is a pseudoscience'.

Mr Robot comes to mind.