[compactmani]

Allow me to make a more general conjecture: As an online discussion grows longer, the probability of a comparison involving word_x or word_y approaches 1.

[christiangenco]

My thoughts exactly. I won't put any credence in this information until I see a graph comparing the relative frequency of "nazi" as discussions grow with "Justin Bieber", "anosmia", and "Kevin Bacon".

[kazinator]

Why? The definition isn't relative to these in any way. It doesn't say that Nazi mentions are more frequent than Bieber mentions. Just that it's more likely to occur in longer threads relative to shorter threads.

[mikeash]

That's an obvious and boring conclusion, though. It's barely beyond saying that if you roll dice, sequences with more rolls tend to have more sixes.

[kazinator]

Yes; unfortunately, Godwin did not commit to any numbers, like "the thread length required for a 79% probability is 500 responses".