[kazinator]

Why? The definition isn't relative to these in any way. It doesn't say that Nazi mentions are more frequent than Bieber mentions. Just that it's more likely to occur in longer threads relative to shorter threads.

[mikeash]

That's an obvious and boring conclusion, though. It's barely beyond saying that if you roll dice, sequences with more rolls tend to have more sixes.

[kazinator]

Yes; unfortunately, Godwin did not commit to any numbers, like "the thread length required for a 79% probability is 500 responses".