[pmarreck]

By ending up being the only one who was correct about a catastrophe warning, and being vocal about it in the aftermath, you somehow implicitly throw everyone else under the bus.

Since "everyone else" > "you", majority rules, you go.

It's a bureaucracy problem. I've seen it, and it's also gotten me at least once, when I decided to stick up for principles. My ego left intact, my job did not.

This is also why getting fired should not automatically carry a negative stigma.

I have a counterpoint- I bet that, given any risky endeavour, there are ALWAYS some naysayers/doubters. So the probability that someone at an organization ends up being correct when a disaster occurs, is probably fairly high. Thus, just because you won the disaster prediction lottery, may not entitle you to as much acclaim as you might think.

[deciplex]

> I have a counterpoint- I bet that, given any risky endeavour, there are ALWAYS some naysayers/doubters. So the probability that someone at an organization ends up being correct when a disaster occurs, is probably fairly high. Thus, just because you won the disaster prediction lottery, may not entitle you to as much acclaim as you might think.

Conversely, achieving success despite taking a great number of risks in the process, may not entitle you to the acclaim that you do get.