[deciplex]

> I have a counterpoint- I bet that, given any risky endeavour, there are ALWAYS some naysayers/doubters. So the probability that someone at an organization ends up being correct when a disaster occurs, is probably fairly high. Thus, just because you won the disaster prediction lottery, may not entitle you to as much acclaim as you might think.

Conversely, achieving success despite taking a great number of risks in the process, may not entitle you to the acclaim that you do get.