[ltjohnson]

I'll start by saying that I'm not trolling.

Using conditional probability, or bayes theorem to calculate a conditional probabilitiy, does not make something bayesian analysis.

I haven't read the original report (it's on my list) but what is presented in this article isn't really anything except probability. It would be bayesian if they put a distribution on the proportion of people that have a "certain cancer."

[debt]

http://yudkowsky.net/rational/bayes

He uses the mammogram statistics as an example to explain Bayes' Theorem.