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by rpcope1 4053 days ago
I think we are on the crux of a time where automation is going to quickly replace more jobs than it creates; while it may not have been hard to transition a carriage maker into a factory worker in the early 1900's, I have strong doubts that replacement tasks will exist as the job pool potentially shrinks this time around. As well, you must remember that while many of the readers of HN are perhaps gifted, young individuals, there is a huge swath of society that is not capable of "adapting or creating innovations" on the time span needed to counter a movement like that. We can yell and patronize about how everyone needs to pick themselves up by their bootstraps, but the reality is usually only a select few people can actually do this, and usually only some fraction of the time. As a sort of consequence, all of this automation tends to concentrate the wealth, and when you have all of these people who are not capable of making a living in society any more, this creates huge societal problems.

I foresee a day coming that some or most software development becomes automated, only needing a very select few to make the machine continue to turn; it will be interesting to see what we all say then.

1 comments

The day developers aren't needed is the day we no longer need jobs.