[nullc]

> I don't necessarily want to depend on mining rigs

Indeed, the security model provided by Bitcoin consensus system may not be fit for any particular purpose. But it has one, and so we can think about it and decide what purposes it may or may not be fit for, and think about under what conditions it will be safe or not safe.

> is to leave such policy questions up to the market and see what kind of architecture emerges

Users of a system take actions. In your system, it seems, the collective actions of all the users result in an effective security model. You refer to this as leaving it up to the market.

The resulting security model--the conditions of success or failure, the invariants which must hold--may be unknown to any of its participants; it may be even unknowable to any one human mind. It may, and almost certainly will, change over time. A user adopts the system today, but finds tomorrow that it is behaving in a way which was previously impossible, including restrictions being sprung on them later--the possibility of which is a kind of restriction in and of itself.

> Heck, someone might literally replicate the Bitcoin policy and configure their quorum slices to trust 67% of whoever mined a Bitcoin block[1] in the past week.

Even your best outcomes with pinning the state to "real organizations" leave me wanting to cite Jo Freeman's "The Tyranny of Structurelessness" as a source for concerns--but I can't, because by failing to state a specific security model, you have a fully general defense against any attack or failure mode: "okay, don't take that risk, the invisible pink hand can choose another set of tradeoffs instead". As you've helpfully demonstrated above (by claiming to generalize the Bitcoin consensus model), there is no conceivable attack for which you couldn't say the system addresses it, as the security is basically external. In some sense you might as well have just shipped a C compiler, pointed out that it was fully general for whatever the market might choose to do (good or bad), and said it was up to the market.

[[1]As an aside, Bitcoin mining is not just creating identities via hashcash; Blocks commit to the past ledger state-- it's effectively a signature itself--, and this is integral to the security model; without that those identities could concurrently create unbounded conflicting states with constant energy usage. See, https://download.wpsoftware.net/bitcoin/pos.pdf for a more complete discussion of the subtle details around that.]

For a market to choose, there must be a choice and there must be intent and understanding. Participants need to be able to trust that their choices are effective and won't be completely undermined by the choices of others, or at least understand how their choices might be undermined and be confident enough that such an outcome is unlikely. For the market to choose, people would need to understand the global ramifications of their actions and the actions of others, but you've seemingly provided no tools to reason about these.

I'm not complaining that there is risk--there is that aplenty, and in Bitcoin too for sure--but that there is no commitment to a sufficiently complete concrete security model at all, which makes the risk impossible to assess. Bitcoin users will also sometime make arguments about the suicide pact of the interconnected economy, but they do that as an answer to what if the first plausible mechanism fails. It probably okay that a system has generality and can potentially fullly accommodate the whim of man, but the more our systems rest on that the more opaque they are in practice.

I really think Stellar should develop and transparently state specific technical 'plan' on how the system should be used-- how trust should be configured globally-- and defend the plausibility and desirability of that model, describe who will and won't have the power to control the system as a result, how centralized it will be, how people can choose to configure their own systems to bring about that outcome, and how we can tell if it has achieved a configuration which can deliver on that plan (preferably before observing a failure). Maybe even multiple such plans, if it were possible to analyze their interactions.

Without that, I can't shake the impression that what you're actually saying isn't 'leave it up to the market' but that instead what you're actually saying is 'leave it up to chance'.

[vbuterin]

You're saying "how do we know that that quora will sufficiently overlap?". David seems to be saying "how do we know they won't?". At this point, I think just about everyone can agree that the security depends on a set of empirical assumptions that we currently simply do not know how they will play out into the real world. So my plan at least is to simply sit back and see how it actually ends up evolving in real life; if it fails, the Stellar Foundation was centralized enough to temporarily take back the reins for itself the last time, so I don't see why it can't do it again.

That said, my _prediction_ is that it will work fine mostly, occasionally there will be concerns about people splitting off into islands, and a resulting second-order consequence is that people will start putting the Stellar equivalent of blockchain.info onto their trust list in order to ensure connectivity to the "main graph" (I had actually cited The Tyranny of Structurelessness in my own responses already :) ), and this will just have to be the social-network-consensus version of the GHash.io scare and we'll be fighting against people's private interests to be lazy to reduce the risk of that happening.

[nullc]

> "how do we know they won't?"

Because the prior version _already_ faulted in production as a result of having a trust graph that didn't meet the prior criteria needed for safety. The prior version also resulted in centralization in practice (in it's ripple instantiation; kind of neat that the ripple->str-reboot let us see both of the predicted failure modes play out, even though they were largely mutually exclusive)

The latest work is intended to relax the requirements/consequences but still provides no guidance or tools for achieving the required topology in practice.

By all means, clearly label these efforts that have have taking a "you haven't yet proved its broken" approach to safety/security; and I won't complain about them. Absent that, I just normally expect that when someone produces a cryptographic product that they've actually given some care to their security.

> consequence is that people will start putting the Stellar equivalent of blockchain.info onto their trust list in order

Then if they're anything like the Bitcoin world's blockchain.info-- which is regularly in a confused state--, I'm may soon find myself the proud owner of infinity STR, I guess? ( Screenshot someone else sent me of the actual BC.i site one day a while back: http://people.xiph.org/~greg/21mbtc.png )

"testing is making sure it does what it should, security auditing is making sure that is all it does"

[swamp12]

(Jed from stellar here) The fork you are describing occurred in the previous protocol when all the nodes had the same UNL; the failure had everything to do with that previous protocol's response to overloading (it diverges based on timeouts, rather than getting stuck, and discards the losing fork on healing) and nothing to do with trust topology. So it didn't have anything to do with improperly set up trust.

In SCP the topology is public and conveyed with each consensus packet. So people will be able to tell when the graph is vulnerable.

Improving the definition of topology requirements for correct consensus is, far from being 'ignored', exactly what Mazieres has been working on all this time. And as you admit, those requirements have now been formalized and the information to check them is conveyed in the consensus packets; they are just not trivial to check by hand, and we have not yet implemented a check for them in stellar-core (this will be forthcoming, see roadmap).

[rfugger]

Hey Jed. I'd be interested in a post mortem on the fork, how the network broke down, and how the new protocol addresses those issues. Reading the paper, I can believe the new protocol works, but it's difficult for me to pinpoint how exactly it differs from the old protocol.

I'm also interested in how the explicit quorum slice data for each node can be used to maintain quorum intersection over the entire network as new nodes join.

[JoelKatz]

I'd be interested in a post mortem on the fork as well. During the split, either one side has a supermajority or neither side does. If one side has a supermajority, that side will win on rejoin, so no problem. If neither side has a supermajority, then one side or the other will win on rejoin, but nobody's been relying on either side. In every case, there should be no problem.

[nbouscal]

I'm out of my league here technically, but I'm having a hard time seeing how your critiques don't apply to the entire market economy just as well.

The collective actions of all participants result in an effective price model, the causes of which are unknown to any of its participants and likely unknowable to any one human mind, and which changes over time in ways that are highly opaque.

In the market at large, participants certainly don't need to understand the global ramifications of their actions, only the local ones. I don't see why that isn't the case here as well.

(For what it's worth I want to point out that like Walter, I really enjoyed reading this discussion, even if much of it is over my head.)

[kanzure]

> In the market at large, participants certainly don't need to understand the global ramifications of their actions, only the local ones. I don't see why that isn't the case here as well.

The primary reason why that does not apply here is because nobody is selling "the market at large" to you as a cryptographically-secure decentralized consensus system. And besides, those ledgers are edited all the time by Authorities; it's irrelevant to this topic.

Edit: you are attempting to reason by analogy about a pricing system, and then trying to apply it to proof-of-work consensus? May I ask why?

[nbouscal]

No, the market economy is sold as a surplus-maximizing decentralized price system. I was attempting to reason by analogy. You've pointed to a difference between the two, but haven't given an explanation of why that difference is sufficient reason for the analogy to break. I'm happy to believe that it is, but am as yet uneducated as to why.

Edit in response to your edit: It just occurred to me that most of the critiques that nullc was making were in very direct correspondence to critiques one could make of the price system. I have no idea if this analogy is useful, but it seemed awfully coincidental.

[nullc]

Markets are frequently manipulated and distorted, they fail and fault and such.

But they're not keeping consensus ledgers for limited supply cryptocurrencies. Any of these failures or faults can allow a coin to be spent twice (or other mutually excluded transaction) with parties that have different views of the system, the result-- and any transaction which is casually depended on the conflict-- can never be part of a common system.

So it's like someone manipulates the market economy to convince you to buy a cheeseburger most other parties think they sold to someone else, and now your hand cannot interact with your neighbor's door because your hand contains atoms that-- as far as your neighbor's door is concerned-- aren't part of your hand but are instead part of my foot.

Markets are a tool. They have their applications and limitations, building the security of a cryptocurrency in an adversarial environment out of them sounds like a plan for failure. No less than using a cryptosystem in a place where you really needed a market may not give great results.

But you don't have to take my word for it, the prior consensus model in Stellar _already_ faulted, all on its own when, the requirement for the trust topology was violated. This fault wasn't a surprise, I (and others) called it out years before-- but the vulnerability of the system was publicly ignored by Stellar's creators while they ran Ripple and Stellar's advisers (including Mazieres, who was an adviser listed on the Stellar site on day one) even as they facilitated the sale of their ripple-reboot asset to the general public. It was not acknowledged until it knocked their system out. The improved consensus may better confines the failure domain, but retains the property that the safety of the consensus is largely external and depends on particular topological constraints without a procedure that provides any assurance the constraints are likely to be met.

Another response to me argues that it will probably be fine; but this flys in the face of reason. The same property existed before and it demonstratively wasn't fine.

If you look at the old BCT thread, I was a big fan of the original ripple IOU system, before ripple labs bought the name, and had recommended it as a potentially fruitful area to many people. The original system could potentially have been implemented without any global consensus at all, which was a large part of why I found it interesting-- Global consensus is enormously costly. But functionality like a new cryptocurrency currency for the purpose of funding the company and the integrated non-interactive rippling (which apparently has been largely turned off in ripple now due to other security vulnerabilities) brought back in the global consensus requirement. (The result was that I felt I had to go edit all my old posts to remove my recommendations, since the system was wildly changed to be something else)

[contingencies]

Walter from Kraken here - I really enjoyed this thread!

(Bit sleep-deprived right now but) FWIW, here's my take: Bitcoin tries to be too many things to too many people. Original ripple was a great response, though without providing a strong solution to the topology problem (manual processes for trust agility).

Now, both fail to "do one thing and do it well". Fundamentally, the functions 'settlement protocol', 'currency' and 'client program' (ie. implementation of protocol) should be well delimited. Besides these, Bitcoin now effectively attempts to do more (expensive paid public sequential datastore and agent-based computing platform, ill-conceived invoicing system, future revenue-guarantees for early adopters/special nodes, etc.)

This brings me to some points I feel have not been considered in this thread: (1) People don't put absolute trust in a settlement network or currency. The de-facto means of managing risk is to simply to limit exposure: either by sending smaller amounts sequentially over time and validating delivery with your endpoint (out of band) prior to sending the next 'chunk'; or by splitting a transaction across multiple currencies/settlement networks/(anonymous/temporary/unpredictable) points of network connectivity. (2) No system fits all people. It's great that the stellar notion addresses one of Bitcoin's most glaring issues: latency for real time / retail transactions. However, it does not necessarily meet all of Bitcoin's capabilities, nor should it aim to. A real world user should have a computationally available means of comparing these networks against real time requirements to select an appropriate path (in terms of risk mitigation strategy, temporal requirements, maximum transaction size limitations, secrecy requirements, and any other execution and routing goals/preferences). (3/corollary) The key issue in present-era financial systems may be that business logic around the true properties of a financial transaction, network or settlement partner are very rarely formally defined (ie. typically many pages of indecipherable legalese that amount to 'we promise nothing and have well paid lawyers', with no computationally usable community metric for SLA enforcement on latency, reliability, instances of failure, etc.)

My thoughts here have remained fairly constant for the last four years: what is really needed is a business-level transaction protocol that disclaims any affinity at all for (a) the currency or currencies in a transaction; (b) the settlement systems used; (c) the endpoint identification system used; (d) allows the discussion/agreement of a realistic range of resolution strategies for common problems in business-level transactions; and (e) facilitates flexible (indeed, multi-path) routing between endpoints across arbitrary financial service providers, potentially using multi-hop/multi-asset pathways shortlisted in real-time through actor and transaction-specific requirements.

A valid settlement path should be 'buy expensive art, get on a plane, deliver to mansion'. Likewise, a valid settlement path should be 'plant a tree and share the GPS location and have it manually validated by a third party'. (These are outlying examples, but an example of the degree of flexibility that should be aimed for in the long tail of latency and use cases. The shorter side is obvious: redundant multi-provider fiscal routing (even across conventional banks), level playing field for emergent financial systems and the conventional ones, etc.)

Some time ago I tried to make proposals in this area at http://ifex-project.org/ (IIBAN perhaps most successfully) but have not been able to dedicate much time to the notion lately. I do however feel it is relevant and am willing to jump at any time to work with others to move the notion forward. If you two are interested I'd love to get together and bash something formal and extensible out of this line of thinking. Tentative proposal: meeting in Europe next month?