[weavejester]

> If you extrapolate from the amount of progress we have made toward AGI in the last 50 years (ie, none)

That's an odd way of defining progress.

> There are intellectual problems that humans aren't capable of solving; it wouldn't make any sense to talk about "superhuman intelligence" if that wasn't the case.

A superhuman intelligence doesn't necessarily have to come up with solutions humans would never think of, it just needs to come up with a solution in less time, or with less available data, or with fewer attempts.