[rndn]

I'm not too familiar with all of this (perhaps I'm even misinterpreting it), but I think they do realize that it would be problematic to throw population trajectories and interest rates into the same pot. I think the motivation is rather to find reasons why things do not behave completely unpredictable at larger scales and I cannot think of good reasons against efforts to find more and more general descriptions of that.

[squidfood]

I agree with the motivation and interest! The issue comes when people try too hard to find patterns to fit a preconceived hypothesis.

I maintain a large (publicly available) ecological dataset, and my data have been drawn into several meta-analyses of this type. Often the idea is to simply see if my data empirically fit the "right" distribution. And they fit it and say "wow, it's all connected".

But then I look at the Bus data in this example (the +'s that represent actual data). I'm guessing I could fit a lognormal distribution, a Gamma distribution, or the Dyson distribution that they actuall use, and the data wouldn't be enough to distinguish between them.

Now, all of these distributions result from "simple" rules, but they are three very different sets of simple rules. For the Bus data, the "repelling" by little slips of paper makes sense as the mechanism, so it's a good hypothesis.

But then to flip that around, and say "since this distribution fits the ecological data, the underlying mechanism must be Bus Repelling" is wholly unjustified (as there are other possible fits). And there's a lot of junk science that does that.