[dereking]

> Both are very likely to fail

Applies if the execution and luck of the founders is rather poor - something that will normally be true in all cases.

My question focuses on the likelihood of success based solely on the method of idea acquisition.

[brudgers]

To a first approximation: zero in both cases.

It's not a place for meaningful optimization. See JustinTV.

[cnasillo]

What does 'It's not a place for meaningful optimization' mean?

[brudgers]

It matters less than cashflow.