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by DennisP 4147 days ago
I tend to lean toward everything being fine, but motive seems obvious. It's an extremely valuable pile of stuff being held by a custodian for many decades with no external audits. I can't think of many cases of people being okay with that situation.
1 comments

I am not a goldbug but I do feel like some people are breaking their backs bending over backwards coming up with reasons to preclude any sort of audit for any reason. I read the article and yeah it sounds like there are a bunch of things that a forensic auditor would wonder about. Gold has been sitting around for half a century, and when the depositor wants it, the bank delays for years and then coughs up a tenth of the gold it promised, with all the serial numbers melted off. they say it took so long because of all the paperwork but apparently can't or won't cough up paperwork about the actual reason the bars were melted down. Isn't this what serial numbers are for? Isn't this what paperwork is for? Isn't this what auditors are for?
And what would make it almost the perfect crime is that if Germany thinks the gold's gone, it's arguably in their best interest to just keep quiet about it. As long as everybody think's the gold's there, Germany rolls along just fine.
This is what gets me. It doesn't even need to be an ongoing conspiracy. The gold could have been spirited away during the Cold War for some critical-at-the-time purpose, with every intention to be restored, and for whatever reason it just wasn't possible. Decades later you have an institution and a government staffed entirely by people who had nothing to do with it but are left holding the bag. As you say, there is literally no incentive to expose this fact, by anybody. The gold itself hasn't left the vault since the 1960's, it can be traded on paper forever if nobody looks.

To be clear I'm not saying this is what happened, just that there doesn't have to be an ongoing conspiracy among hundreds of people and institutions for the gold to be gone and nobody wanting to say anything.