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by aragot 4153 days ago
And yet the graph seems exact: According to the Telegraph, Apple's sales in 1982 were indeed $1b. http://www.telegraph.co.uk/technology/steve-jobs/8810045/Ste...
2 comments
sliverstorm 4153 days ago
In fact that means they underestimated. Read more closely, the graph is their estimate of PC Market Total Revenue and they predict only 35% market share of that pie.

So they projected a 350M slice of a 1B market, and got a 1B slice of a... ??? market

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TrainedMonkey 4153 days ago
They did note that home computer market had been growing by 250% per year, that is mostly what that exponential curve is based on.
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kw71 4153 days ago
I happened to be reading a transcript of a Bill Gates interview last night. [1] Interesting that he predicted the exponential growth and realized it at Microsoft too.

[1] http://americanhistory.si.edu/comphist/gates.htm#tc8

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