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by glesica
4168 days ago
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I agree with your overall point, but I would walk it back just a notch by pointing out that being forced (or at least encouraged) to have a theory first helps to prevent correlation "fishing". If you accidentally stumble upon some really interesting relationship, then that is great and ideally would be shared with the world. But if that sort of thing is allowed to be published without any scrutiny, the incentive becomes to just throw tests at a dataset until it yields something that appears interesting. If you perform enough random tests on a dataset, you are very, very likely to eventually find something "unusual" or "interesting". |
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