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by ilyanep 4220 days ago
I'm making a lot of assumptions here, as I'm not an expert on solar panels (took a class that touched on them once, but I'm mostly just Googling here):

* Typical efficiency of a consumer solar panel to day is about 12%

* Average of 6 hours of sunlight a day over a year, sunlight providing 120 W/m^2 [1]

* Rooftop of about 80 m^2

Total energy over a year comes out to about 2500 kWh.[2] Apparently the average household energy usage in the US is about 10000 kWh[3], which would imply that you could get about a quarter of your energy from solar.

A few caveats:

* Apparently some places get up to 2200 kWh/m^2 per year of sunlight[4], which would bring your solar panel total to about 21000 kWh a year.

* Not entirely sure how big your average rooftop is.

* Solar panels have been created with efficiency in the 40s of percent[5]

Hopefully I'm not completely off with some of these, but it seems reasonable that a rooftop system can provide most or all of your power in the near future, depending on how sunny it is where you live. If it's not sunny, you might have a lot more problems, though.

[1] According to https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sunlight, the World Meteorological Organization defines sunshine as a state of receiving at least 120 W/m^2

[2] http://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=365+days%2Fyear+*+6+hou...

[3] http://www.eia.gov/tools/faqs/faq.cfm?id=97&t=3

[4] http://www.nrel.gov/gis/images/map_pv_national_lo-res.jpg

[5] http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2013/09/130923204214.ht...

1 comments

Power is quite a lot higher:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Insolation#Earth.27s_insolation

(the 250 W/m^2 there is the 24 hour average)

From the link

>> Ignoring clouds, the daily average irradiance for the Earth is approximately 250 W/m2

Emphasis added. Seems like clouds might be a non-trivial factor, yes?

Yeah, clouds matter (obviously, locations vary). GP used an extremely conservative value for the energy available, I was just pointing to a less conservative value.

(The difference between the values is ~8x, I doubt clouds have that big an impact in very many locations)