Hacker News new | ask | show | jobs
by magicalist 4213 days ago
> Unfortunately due to the lack of quality ISP's, the first to offer residential fiber to the perimeter will rapidly absorb the market.

Is there a historical precedent that suggests that this will happen?

The major telcos continue to grow their profits year over year while decreasing their capital spending. I think the much more likely response to any success on google's part will be

- cities growing impatient for their turn and building their own networks (well underway[1])

- more and more attempts by existing ISPs at regulatory blocking of competition (well underway[2])

- finally, ISPs actually increase spending to match speeds (still in the lip service stage[3])

ISPs like their market strangleholds. They aren't going to just roll over. Meanwhile building infrastructure is fundamentally a lot of work, so no "Bell 2.0" is going to be born overnight if they're trying to actually build out a physical network (major ISPs merging[4] as a road to Ma Bell is a different story, though).

[1] http://arstechnica.com/business/2013/11/fed-up-with-slow-and...

[2] http://arstechnica.com/tech-policy/2014/08/how-big-telecom-s...

[3] http://arstechnica.com/business/2014/04/att-copies-google-na...

[4] http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Comcast-Time_Warner_Cable_merge...

1 comments

This is a good point. AT&T's response to Google Fiber in Austin actually rolled out long before Google Fiber itself.