[theworst]

Correct, but that's just because of the inherently unpredictable nature of future telling.

What are the alternatives? One could simply not engage in projections, which is difficult because they're so tempting. A third option is to listen to the non-experts, which doesn't seem more valuable...

This is something I struggle WRT economics. I know economists are little more than fortune tellers, but what are the other options?