[wpietri]

> If we had the right information and enough reasoning ability, we would be able to turn the dials just right. That's in theory.

Alas, not even in theory, because other actors are generating new information. Some of that new information will specifically be in response to your actions.

Even if over time skill and knowledge increase, that will be true for everybody. So luck will continue to be as important. Possibly more so; it seems to me that increasing knowledge reduces the opportunity for individual skill to make a difference.