[cagriaksay]

It's indeed very helpful. Predictions should be independent for wisdom of the crowd to actually work. But we did introduce this dependency by revealing crowd predictions after yours as a tradeoff. We want to give feedback on how our users are doing, so that they're incentivized to continue making predictions.

Sometimes what you see as crowd prediction could be just a couple predictions. As new predictions come in, we adjust individual scores. We are planning to hide scores until a healthy number of predictions are made on that profile. That should help a bit on the dependency issue. We are open to suggestions as well. Thanks for the feedback.

[jghn]

It seems way off for my area (Boston). It's prediction for me is about 15K low and I know I'm fairly underpaid based on offers I've received from other companies (I like where I am and am fine w/ the low salaries). I found a similar pattern when I went to do predictions, the crowd's wisdom simply didn't seem to match up with the reality that I have seen.

And of course, as the GP stated, once I started getting dinged for guessing higher than the predicted score, I started lowering my predictions. All the scoring system managed to accomplish was to drive my predictions closer to the standard data, which seems like a bad way to motivate people to give honest answers.