[idlewords]

I haven't seen any evidence that he's particularly smart. The guy had an early success that convinced him he can see head and shoulders above others. This turned him into a write-only visionary. Like many such people, he's entertaining to read because of the strength of his convictions, but it's probably a bad idea to take him too seriously.

[ThomPete]

I had a discussion with him around inherrent value in currency btc, fiat etc and I was actually quite surprised at how unreflected his view seemed to be.

But I would still consider him a smart guy just not a clairvoyant.

[applecore]

That's taking a dim view of the man's prolificacy, or maybe I'm not understanding what "write-only visionary" means.

[idlewords]

I don't follow what you mean by "prolificacy". Prolixity? Or that he's prolific?

By 'write-only visionary', I mean someone who no longer has a working feedback loop telling them they're sometimes wrong.

[craigyk]

> By 'write-only visionary', I mean someone who no longer has a working feedback loop telling them they're sometimes wrong.

well put. kudos. i hope you don't mind as I'm sure I'll repeat this in the future.

[applecore]

He's been prolific in starting and backing a huge number of original ideas and companies—I'd say the market is giving him all the feedback he needs that he's doing something right.