[lifeisstillgood]

For others who wondered about the R-naught reference - how many people one infected person will then onwards infect.

http://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Basic_reproduction_number

Measles is 12-18, Ebola 1-2. Before that makes you feel comforted, 1918 flu had r0 of 2-3.

Great.

[hga]

Problem is, the data from West Africa is so bad in quality it could easily be 3 (e.g. I believe that's in line with the CDC's worst case estimate for January).

Which to echo simplemath is deeply scary.