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by fennecfoxen
4280 days ago
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Putting down money and expecting to get less money back is irrational, unless you're rationally pursuing some higher goal (in the case of lotteries' education funds, more efficiently obtained by writing checks to the appropriate agencies as donations.) Of course, there are worse things in life than being irrational, and a variety of human beings' irrational instincts form incredibly useful heuristics for long-term value maximization (on both individual and societal levels) which might otherwise be difficult to attain, given the limitations of the rational brain: love, patriotism, et cetera. It sounds like the unpredictability of the results is something you value, perhaps because it's exciting. That's a pretty irrational thing to value, but not intrinsically harmful in small doses; people put down money for plenty of ridiculous forms of entertainment. But you could own up to it. :b |
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Actually, economists assume that most people are not pursuing to maximize money, but to maximize their utility function instead. Granted, they also assume that most people are risk-averse as opposed to risk-loving, i.e. most would not risk 1 for a 50% chance of winning 2.0001. On the other hand, the economics of the lottery are such that the amount you pay (even if you play every day for your whole life) is quite negligible compared to all the money you will earn during your life; if you win, you will practically maximize the utility of a few very important things in life (earning more, and working less). I think it's rational to play the lottery.