|
|
|
|
|
|
by throwaway_yy2Di
4290 days ago
|
|
|
Here's one of the previous largest outbreak, 2000-2001 in Uganda. (Note unlike the Wikipedia one, it's not cumulative). Looks like a sudden decline in new cases right after a CDC intervention -- very sharp inflection point. The cumulative version would be roughly a sigmoid. http://web.stanford.edu/group/parasites/ParaSites2012/Lassa%... http://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/preview/mmwrhtml/mm5005a1.htm Looks like there were about 10 new cases/day at its peak; the current outbreak is at 150/day. A couple things stood out to me: Fourteen (64%) of 22 health-care workers in Gulu were
infected after establishing the isolation wards; these
incidenses led to the reinforcement of infection-control
measures.
So that's not novel to the current outbreak at all! During the 4-month outbreak and response period,
approximately 5600 contacts in Gulu District were under
surveillance for 21 days by approximately 150 trained
volunteers.
|
|
|
