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by aaron695 4290 days ago
< As it grows, its rate of growth will increase

No, R will stay the same. Or decrease as the population becomes more exposed.

2 comments

He's taking about the number of people infected per unit of time, which will indeed increase over time if the reproductive number stays larger than 1.
Growth is number of people per unit time. Rate of growth is number of people per unit time squared. Just as with speed vs. acceleration, there certainly is a distinction.
I'm not a native speaker so I could be wrong. But in the wikipedia article about exponential growth, "growth rate" is defined as the first derivative with respect to time, which contradicts what you are saying: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Exponential_growth#Differentia...

I understand the distinction you are trying to make, but I think what you call "growth rate" would actually be "growth acceleration".

Actually R0 is a measure which captures both population mixing activity and the infectiousness of the pathogen - the two processes are confounded. That means that it varies a lot over space and time.