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by jere
4302 days ago
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Yea, I think even if people know this they don't intuitively grasp how far off they are. Five tries at 20% success rate is only 67% overall. That's about the same odds you have to win two rounds of russian roulette. To have an overall 99% chance (what we might conversationally say is a guarantee), it'd take 21 tries. |
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