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Exactly my feeling. Although I can't blame someone for overestimating the impact of automation on his jobs and preparing for it. Those who underestimate AIs will pay a hefty price.

Anyway, I don't think the "when" is really interesting to think about, especially when it's an arbitrary date. I prefer to ponder on much more significant and inevitable events/thresholds such as when AIs will surpass humans in every aspect. In my opinion, as long as AIs are inferior to humans in terms of intelligence, there will be jobs for most people, but past this point the concept of "work" is not event relevant anymore. And don't tell me "people will always need interaction with other people". That's clearly underestimating the capacity of future generations to identify with highly intelligent and sentient robots.