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by Mikeb85 4353 days ago
Why on earth would it be intentional?

It's pretty much the worst PR possible for Russia. In fact, the only parties who have anything to gain from the plane going down are Kyiv and the US.

It was more than likely an unfortunate accident, as the separatists had shot down several fighter jets and military transports in the same area in the days leading up to MH17... On previous days MH17 had also flown south of Donetsk.

2 comments

> It's pretty much the worst PR possible for Russia.

Sometimes military actions are taken for reasons other than PR.

> In fact, the only parties who have anything to gain from the plane going down are Kyiv and the US.

Making civilian air travel perceived as unsafe through the Ukraine (and thus, also, into or out of the Ukraine) increases economic pressure on the Ukrainian government to reach an accommodation with the rebels (the PR downside may overwhelm that advantage, but its not impossible to conceive that the rebels might see it as a net gain.) Its not that uncommon of a reason for rebel/separatist forces to attack civilian transport (air or otherwise), tourist, or other targets.

That's not to say I think that it was intentional -- I think that an accident is, given other incidents in the region, the most obvious explanation. OTOH, its not inconceivable that it could be intentional, and there is a clear potential motive for doing it intentionally.

Why on earth would it be intentional? Because they launched a missile with the intent of bringing down an airplane.

It might be bad PR, but you would have to be one hell of a PR specialist to successfully spin this as an "unfortunate accident".