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by dthunt 4352 days ago
They're hypothetical inferences, but the downside to using actual realistic examples is that even when they're meticulously researched, people nitpick them to a degree that baffles me. Like, asserting "but the probability of the evidence is either 0 or 1, so it's clearly impossible to ever make any inferential reasoning work".

The examples here are well chosen to eliminate the usual attacks on inference. They're ODD. But they're not invalid.