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by h1karu 4379 days ago
You start by asking me to make an enormous leap of faith (free miracle) which is to assume that it's possible to know for sure whether or not you have perfect information about any given system. I simply can't fathom how such an assumption could ever be reasonably made so therefor I really have no way to follow along with the rest of your reasoning. I appreciate hearing you perspective though.

“The hard swallow built into science is this business about the big bang… This is the notion that the universe, for no reason, sprang from nothing in a single instant… notice that this is the limit test for credulity. Whether you believe this or not, notice that it is not possible to conceive of something more unlikely, or less likely to be believed. I defy anyone. It’s just the limit case for unlikelihood: that the universe would spring from nothing in a single instant for no reason… It is in fact no different than saying, “and then God said, ‘Let there be light!’ What the philosophers of science are saying is “give us one free miracle and we will roll from that point forward, from the birth of time to the crack of doom.” -Terence McKenna

1 comments

Nobody's asking for anything. Its an observation, nothing more - the universe used to exist as a point and expanded from there. Everything we see, everywhere, points to this. No more a miracle than anything else we see - gravity, light, matter.
> the universe used to exist as a point and expanded from there. Everything we see, everywhere, points to this.

Yes but if I understand them correctly most modern scientists think that "everything we see" is only a miniscule fragment of the universe. The vast majority of the universe they assert is invisible and it's characteristics are said to be unknown to man. They use placeholder words to describe the vast majority of the universe such as "dark energy" or "dark matter".

If you hold to such a view then how is it reasonable to assume that science has enough data to draw any conclusions about the mechanics of the universe as a whole ? Isn't it analogous to the proverbial blind man who feels one small part of an elephant and assumes he understands what it is and how it works ?

To be clear I haven't been arguing against the existence of randomness nor against the existence of the big bang, because truly I don't hold any beliefs either for or against their existence. I'm just honest enough to admit that I don't know, whereas it seems most academics at least are convinced that they do know. My larger point is simply that science does not have the means by which to ascertain whether or not these things exist or ever have existed with any kind of reasonable accuracy.

Society just likes to pretend that we know more than we really do for political reasons and because it makes us feel more at ease in general. This psychological phenomena is well documented with vast amounts of supporting evidence dating all the way back through the history of science.

"Perfect knowledge" in this case is probably an assumption as part of a mathematical definition. E.g. "Assume a hypothetical time-varying universe U exists, and the current time state and all previous states of the universe are perfectly known. Iff the following state of U is unpredictable even with this knowledge, U is defined to be truly random."

The idea that randomness has to "come from" somewhere is a different idea, and the question of whether randomness or order is the fundamental state, and the other an emergent property, is an interesting question indeed.

> I'm just honest enough to admit that I don't know, whereas it seems most academics at least are convinced that they do know.

If you don't know, how can you be sure they don't either?

To posit such a thing as "all previous states" implies that a universe is a finite state machine whereas for all we know the universe could be infinite in which case the value "all previous states" becomes a mathematical impossibility.

> If you don't know, how can you be sure they don't either?

I don't mean to assert any claim about individuals and their personal knowledge I'm merely suggesting that in my opinion the global community of scientists as represented in academia, scientific journals, and in popular literature hasn't made a compelling case for having met it's own scientific burden of evidence (scientific method) to be able to say that "science knows".

In the past that burden of evidence was lower because we had reason to believe that the universe was a much smaller place and that we could measure a much larger percentage of it, but given what we know today that burden of evidence has grown tremendously to the point where any serious scientist should admit to himself that science doesn't know.

Regarding infinite states, let's assume infinite storage capacity and a time step approaching 0 (in the limit sense:. It's not science, it's math.

Regarding science, the point is not knowing. Science isn't just answers, it's a process for finding new questions to answer. Something could always come along that radically changes our understanding of some aspect of the universe, but that doesn't necessarily mean what we knew before was wrong, just incomplete. If an old theory explains everything measured up to a point, the old theory is still "right" within the context of those measurements. A new measurement that invalidates the theory doesn't invalidate the previous measurements in almost every case.

It's also important to distinguish between math and science. Mathematicians can make definite claims to correctness because they study "universes" of their own creation. Science only claims correctness in light of current knowledge, within certain error bars. Ignore sociology.

> Science only claims correctness in light of current knowledge, within certain error bars.

I concur, but my point is that with regard to the mechanics and composition of the universe in which we live it would seem that the more we measure the larger those error bars appear to be. Every once in a while measurements come along which multiply the size of those error bars exponentially and once that happens scientists should take note to adjust the English language they use in characterizing the limitations of their own knowledge. Modern scientists seem to be notoriously slow at this and my suspicion is that this is because it would give the impression that certain fields of science are becoming less knowledgeable as time goes on, and that's not good PR. In other words my only complaint here is related to sociology, the use of language.

Thank you for prompting me to refresh my memory on the differences between mathematics and scientific inquery because in so doing I ran across a quote having to do with the role of the theorist (my favorite) who is caught between the two worlds:

"Before an experiment can be performed, it must be planned — the question to nature must be formulated before being posed. Before the result of a measurement can be used, it must be interpreted - nature's answer must be understood properly. These two tasks are those of the theorist, who finds himself always more and more dependent on the tools of abstract mathematics. Of course, this does not mean that the experimenter does not also engage in theoretical deliberations. The foremost classical example of a major achievement produced by such a division of labor is the creation of spectrum analysis by the joint efforts of Robert Bunsen, the experimenter, and Gustav Kirchoff, the theorist. Since then, spectrum analysis has been continually developing and bearing ever richer fruit." — Max Planck

'The Meaning and Limits of Exact Science', Science (30 Sep 1949), 110, No. 2857, 325. Advance reprinting of chapter from book Max Planck, Scientific Autobiography (1949), 110.