[justinmk]

Because s/he is extrapolating a curve based on the current birth rate.

> Arabic speakers are reproducing at a rate that virtually guarantees it.

That's ridiculous. In the 1970s, Chinese birth rate was ~5/woman [1]. It turns out that dynamic systems change with time.

Anyways, to get back on topic: more accessibility will only improve things.

[1] http://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/One-child_policy

[unhammer]

Some other HN comment I can't remember mentioned this: A logistic curve looks a lot like an exponential curve if you can only see the "start" of it ;-)