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by mcnees287 4490 days ago
This is an interesting comment, but Icahn's recent actions (last three to four years that I am familiar with) are driven by nothing more than the motive for short-term profit.

The process proceeds along the following lines:

1. Acquire a stake of more than 5%, which requires a public filing with the SEC. This is very key as now the public has a verifiable way of knowing Icahn has a stake.

2. Write a letter to the board and/or management demanding changes to the structure of the company or use of its large cash pile(if applicable). This usually takes the form of a spin-off or buyback/dividend proposal. (Buybacks are more favorable these days due to tax considerations.)

3. The stock price increases at least 10% after it is announced Icahn has taken a stake. Icahn can sell here and take his profits home; 10% annualized is a very large gain.

3. Management predictably scoffs at Icahn's demands or arranges a show for shareholders in the form of a one-on-one meeting with the CEO or something along these lines. Nothing tangible happens.

4. Icahn sometimes is able to pressure firm management/board into buybacks or dividends, which only adds to Icahn's paper profits (see 3). This is usually done through the very real threat of going directly to the shareholders with a proxy to elect new board members. Even if this is unsuccessful Icahn still has achieved 3.

This is known as the 'Icahn tax'. Due to name recognition and a strong track record Icahn is able to exert pressure on firms for a quick and easy buck. Nothing more.

3 comments

Who's the tax on? If I'm understanding the dynamics here, it looks like it's a tax on shareholders who buy in at inflated prices because Icahn is being an activist, and that once he sells his shares, everything will return to normal. If that's the case, then over time people should realize that Icahn buying into a company is a signal that it's overvalued and that premium should decrease. (In the meantime, he gets to bank large profits off this trade, but his name recognition and track record is a depreciating asset unless he actively improves stock performance.)
I don't disagree with you, but tell me why this is a 'bad' thing if you are saying that shareholding equity is increasing and management is being pushed out of their 'comfort zone' and maybe paying off debt/buyback or dividend?
Very well said.